CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-03-02T15:04:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-03-02T15:04ZCME Note: Faint CME is likely associated with an eruption marked by the relatively small area dimming in the vicinity of AR2956 visible in SDO AIA 193 imagery starting around 2022-03-02T14:45Z. UPDATE (2022-03-09T17:41Z): There is a short-duration field component rotation beginning 2022-03-05T10:30Z that may possibly be an arrival signature for this ICME, but the L1 solar wind signature is dominated by the 2022-03-05 high speed stream and an ICME signature is inconclusive.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-03-06T22:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 10.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM)
Prediction Method Note: Lead Time: 66.67 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Duty Forecaster (ASWFC) on 2022-03-04T03:20Z
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